Super League 1
— Greece
Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 17:30 •
Toumba Stadium
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.40)
0.52 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.5% | 29.9% | 15.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| AEK Athens FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PAOK | 0 | 16.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PAOK | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 73% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 91% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PAOK | AEK Athens FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 90% | 56% | 74% | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Draws | 10% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Loses | 0% | 22% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
PAOKWWWDDWWWWLWWWLWWWWD
AEK Athens FCWWWDWWLLWWWWWWWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | PAOK | AEK Athens FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 19 | 41 | 17 | 20 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PAOK | AEK Athens FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 42% | 90% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 68% | 21% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 5% | 30% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PAOK | AEK Athens FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | PAOK | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | PAOK | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PAOK | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 62.7% | 37.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away3.55 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.28 @ SBO
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): PAOK = 1.26 (league 1.40), AEK Athens FC = 0.52 (league 1.15)
| AEK Athens FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PAOK | 0 | 16.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 15.4%