Campionato
— San-Marino
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.36)
0.66 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.8% | 38.9% | 29.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.6%
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tre Fiori | 0 | 25.6% | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 47% | 73% |
| Defense | 60% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 91% | 62% | 75% | 85% | 64% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 38% | 21% | 15% | 27% | 21% |
| Loses | 9% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 4% |
Tre FioriWWWWWWDWWDDWWWWWWWWDDLWW
VirtusDWWWWWWWWDLWWWDWWDWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 25 | 51 | 32 | 20 | 52 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tre Fiori | Virtus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 29% | 88% | 42% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 17% | 79% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.66 @ 1xBet
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.11 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tre Fiori = 0.70 (league 1.36), Virtus = 0.66 (league 1.36)
| Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tre Fiori | 0 | 25.6% | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.8% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 29.3%