Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:00 • Al Inma Bank Stadium at King Abdullah Sport City
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.65) 7.02 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.3% 0.8% 28.8%
best score tips
0 - 5
6.1%
1 - 5
4.5%
0 - 4
4.4%
Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ittihad FC 0 0.0% 0.3% 1.1% 2.5% 4.4% 6.1%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 3.2% 4.5%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack71%86%
Defense71%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 3.312 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.31 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

9.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Ittihad FC Al-Nassr
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Al-Ittihad FC: WWW • Al-Nassr: WWW

League goals

Metric Al-Ittihad FC Al-Nassr
HATHAT
GF total46107512
GF avg4.03.03.33.55.04.0
GA total224101
GA avg2.01.01.30.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%33%
1.567%67%100%0%
2.567%0%67%0%
3.567%0%67%0%
4.533%0%67%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-55-10-5
Biggest losses————
Goals For4555
Goals Against2210

Model comparison

MetricAl-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total39.4%60.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Al-Nassr and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.65 @ Pinnacle
Away1.77 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.34 @ 188Bet
No3.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Ittihad FC = 0.73 (league 1.65), Al-Nassr = 7.02 (league 1.43)

Al-Nassr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ittihad FC 0 0.0% 0.3% 1.1% 2.5% 4.4% 6.1%
1 0.0% 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 3.2% 4.5%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 0.8% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1