Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 09:00 •
Bezirkssportanlage NeckarPark PSV-Stadion
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.87)
1.88 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.3% | 22.2% | 58.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.6%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Meppen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stuttgart | 0 | 6.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Stuttgart carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 65 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stuttgart +15.1, Meppen +11.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Stuttgart
vs
Meppen
Elo gapStuttgart +65
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3171.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3171.8
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Stuttgart | Meppen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1601 | 1570.8 |
| Form Elo | 1611.9 | 1579.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1545.2 | 1533.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1802.7 | 1646.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1520 | 1581.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.1 | +11.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Stuttgart last-5 Elo change: +15.1; Meppen last-5 Elo change: +11.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stuttgart | Meppen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 44% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stuttgart | Meppen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 73% | 55% | 64% | 64% | 55% | 59% |
| Draws | 18% | 36% | 27% | 9% | 27% | 18% |
| Loses | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
StuttgartWDDDWWWWWLWWWDDWDWWLWW
MeppenWLDWLDLWWWWWWWDWLWLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Stuttgart | Meppen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 39 | 32 | 71 | 29 | 22 | 51 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stuttgart | Meppen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 73% | 82% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 82% | 36% | 50% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 18% | 41% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 9% | 32% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stuttgart | Meppen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stuttgart | Meppen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stuttgart | Meppen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-9 | 8-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stuttgart | Meppen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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