Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio El CandÃn
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.40)
1.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 26.0% | 60.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 2
14.9%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Mosconia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tuilla | 0 | 13.5% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tuilla | Mosconia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 33% | 75% |
| Defense | 8% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tuilla | Mosconia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 10% | 64% | 44% | 55% |
| Draws | 20% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 25% |
| Loses | 60% | 70% | 65% | 9% | 33% | 20% |
TuillaLLDLLLWLLLLDWDLLLDDL
MosconiaDLDWWWDLWLWLDWWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Tuilla | Mosconia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 26 | 39 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tuilla | Mosconia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 90% | 85% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 50% | 55% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 25% | 15% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 15% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tuilla | Mosconia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tuilla | Mosconia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tuilla | Mosconia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 6-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tuilla | Mosconia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 15% | 85% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 35.2% | 64.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.00 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Betano
Away1.70 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.24 @ 1xBet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tuilla = 0.51 (league 1.40), Mosconia = 1.49 (league 1.14)
| Mosconia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tuilla | 0 | 13.5% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.7% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 60.9%