Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.49)
1.06 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.4% | 30.6% | 36.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Səbail | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mingəçevir | 0 | 13.2% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 44% | 28% |
| Defense | 89% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Səbail | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 50% | 56% | 53% | 56% | 38% | 47% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 22% | 50% | 35% |
| Loses | 25% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 13% | 18% |
MingəçevirLWWDWWLWLWDDWDDWW
SəbailWWWDWDWDLWDLWDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Səbail | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mingəçevir | Səbail | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 53% | 65% | 41% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 29% | 47% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 6% | 18% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Səbail | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Səbail |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ Superbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mingəçevir = 0.98 (league 1.48), Səbail = 1.05 (league 1.20)
| Səbail | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mingəçevir | 0 | 13.2% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 36.5%