Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 20:15 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.61)
1.37 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.5% | 25.0% | 34.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 0
8.5%
| Union Comercio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UCV Moquegua | 0 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Union Comercio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 42% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Union Comercio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 11 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 64% | 27% | 48% | 82% | 42% | 61% |
| Draws | 14% | 55% | 32% | 9% | 8% | 9% |
| Loses | 21% | 18% | 20% | 9% | 50% | 30% |
Form: UCV Moquegua: DLWLWWWWDWDWLDDWLWDDLWDWW • Union Comercio: WDLWWWLWLWLWLDWWWWWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Union Comercio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 14 | 38 | 25 | 18 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 8 | 17 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UCV Moquegua | Union Comercio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 68% | 91% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 28% | 52% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 4% | 26% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Union Comercio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Union Comercio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Union Comercio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UCV Moquegua | Union Comercio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 60.2% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : UCV Moquegua or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UCV Moquegua = 1.48 (league 1.61), Union Comercio = 1.37 (league 0.87)
| Union Comercio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UCV Moquegua | 0 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 34.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1