Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 00:00 •
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Expected Goals
2.98 (league 1.01)
1.33 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Boca Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lanus | 0 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lanus | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 33% |
| Defense | 42% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lanus | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 0% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 100% | 29% |
LanusWWDDLD
Boca JuniorsWLWLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Lanus | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lanus | Boca Juniors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 100% | 71% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 14% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lanus | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lanus | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lanus | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lanus | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lanus = 2.98 (league 1.01), Boca Juniors = 1.33 (league 0.75)
| Boca Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lanus | 0 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 13.9%