Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 21:30 •
Estádio do Maracanã
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.36)
0.35 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.1%
3 - 0
15.1%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico-MG | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fluminense | 0 | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.1% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 69% | 46% |
| Defense | 46% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico-MG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 25% | 57% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 100% | 43% |
FluminenseWDWLWWL
Atletico-MGDLDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico-MG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fluminense | Atletico-MG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico-MG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fluminense | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 62.7% | 37.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away6.20 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fluminense = 2.51 (league 1.36), Atletico-MG = 0.35 (league 0.86)
| Atletico-MG | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fluminense | 0 | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.1% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.2% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 3.5%