Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.05)
1.80 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.4% | 22.6% | 61.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
0 - 2
12.5%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Tristan Suarez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almirante Brown | 0 | 7.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 75% |
| Defense | 63% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Tristan Suarez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 25% | 40% | 50% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 100% | 60% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Almirante BrownDWWLD
Tristan SuarezDDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Tristan Suarez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almirante Brown | Tristan Suarez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Tristan Suarez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.63 @ BetVictor
Away3.76 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.54.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.27 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.47 @ Betano
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Almirante Brown = 0.77 (league 1.05), Tristan Suarez = 1.80 (league 0.67)
| Tristan Suarez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almirante Brown | 0 | 7.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.4% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 61.0%