Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 01:30 •
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.17)
1.25 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 26.8% | 35.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.2%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Junior | 0 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Junior | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 58% | 58% |
| Defense | 50% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Junior | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 60% | 56% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
JuniorLWWWLWLWD
Atletico NacionalWWWLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Junior | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Junior | Atletico Nacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 78% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | 75% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Junior | Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Junior | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Junior | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Junior | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away2.71 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ 10Bet
No2.17 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Junior = 1.28 (league 1.18), Atletico Nacional = 1.25 (league 0.80)
| Atletico Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Junior | 0 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 35.8%