Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 00:30 •
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.32)
2.15 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.6% | 20.7% | 50.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| O'Higgins | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportes Tolima | 0 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 78% |
| Attack | 22% | 44% |
| Defense | 78% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Deportes TolimaWDL
O'HigginsWDW
League goals
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.59 @ 188Bet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away8.10 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Deportes Tolima = 1.51 (league 1.32), O'Higgins = 2.15 (league 0.93)
| O'Higgins | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportes Tolima | 0 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 50.0%