First League
— Russia
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 16:00 •
Volgograd Arena
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.24)
0.92 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.5% | 29.3% | 28.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Rodina Moskva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rotor Volgograd | 0 | 11.9% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rotor Volgograd | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 87% |
| Attack | 79% | 100% |
| Defense | 79% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rotor Volgograd | Rodina Moskva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 64% | 27% | 45% | 53% | 50% | 52% |
| Draws | 14% | 47% | 31% | 40% | 36% | 38% |
| Loses | 21% | 27% | 24% | 7% | 14% | 10% |
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Rodina MoskvaDLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDWDWDDWWDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Rotor Volgograd | Rodina Moskva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 17 | 38 | 25 | 23 | 48 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rotor Volgograd | Rodina Moskva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 52% | 76% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 21% | 55% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 3% | 21% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 7% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rotor Volgograd | Rodina Moskva | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rotor Volgograd | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rotor Volgograd | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-6 | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rotor Volgograd | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ Pinnacle
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rotor Volgograd = 1.21 (league 1.24), Rodina Moskva = 0.92 (league 1.04)
| Rodina Moskva | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rotor Volgograd | 0 | 11.9% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 28.0%