Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 17:00 • Stadium Gal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.29) 1.18 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.0% 29.0% 39.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sestao River
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Unión 0 11.2% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal UniónSestao River
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack36%43%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Unión Sestao River
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%33%33%
Draws67%67%67%33%67%50%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%17%

Form: Real Unión: WDWDDD • Sestao River: DWWDDL

League goals

Metric Real Unión Sestao River
HATHAT
GF total426358
GF avg1.30.71.01.01.71.3
GA total213235
GA avg0.70.30.50.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal UniónSestao River
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%83%50%
1.517%0%50%33%
2.517%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal UniónSestao River
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricReal UniónSestao River
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricReal UniónSestao River
Wins12
Draws12
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-00-2
Biggest losses1-2
Goals For3122
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricReal UniónSestao River
Form47%53%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Unión or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Unión = 1.01 (league 1.29), Sestao River = 1.18 (league 1.01)

Sestao River
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Unión 0 11.2% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.0% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1