Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.48) 2.90 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.6% 10.0% 79.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 3
14.0%
0 - 4
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid W 0 3.4% 10.0% 14.5% 14.0% 10.2% 5.9%
1 1.6% 4.7% 6.8% 6.5% 4.7% 2.8%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico Madrid WBarcelona W
Played55
Form73%100%
Attack86%100%
Defense79%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.423 | 4.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid W Barcelona W
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%67%67%100%100%100%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Atletico Madrid W: WWWDWD • Barcelona W: WWWWWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid W Barcelona W
HATHAT
GF total71017141731
GF avg2.33.32.84.75.75.2
GA total213011
GA avg0.70.30.50.00.30.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico Madrid WBarcelona W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%17%
1.567%0%100%0%
2.550%0%83%0%
3.550%0%83%0%
4.517%0%50%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico Madrid WBarcelona W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAtletico Madrid WBarcelona W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtletico Madrid WBarcelona W
Wins36
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-58-01-8
Biggest losses
Goals For4588
Goals Against1101

Model comparison

MetricAtletico Madrid WBarcelona W
Form42%58%
Att34%66%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total29.5%70.5%

Advice: Winner : Barcelona W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home28.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw11.50 @ Marathonbet
Away1.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid W = 0.47 (league 1.48), Barcelona W = 2.90 (league 1.38)

Barcelona W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid W 0 3.4% 10.0% 14.5% 14.0% 10.2% 5.9%
1 1.6% 4.7% 6.8% 6.5% 4.7% 2.8%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.6% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 79.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1