Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:00 •
Ciudad Deportiva MCF Campo 1
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.19)
0.26 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.0% | 60.1% | 16.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
55.2%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Estepona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Málaga II | 0 | 55.2% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Málaga II | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 25% |
| Defense | 42% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
38%
FT probability
2.5+
27%
FT probability
3.5+
19%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Málaga II | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Málaga II: LLDDL • Estepona: DLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Málaga II | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Málaga II | Estepona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Málaga II | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Málaga II | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Málaga II | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Málaga II | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 54.4% | 45.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Málaga II or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Málaga II = 0.34 (league 1.19), Estepona = 0.26 (league 0.97)
| Estepona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Málaga II | 0 | 55.2% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 60.1% · Away win 16.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1