Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Noteć Czarnków
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.74) 1.97 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 21.7% 55.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lipno Stęszew
0 1 2 3 4 5
Noteć Czarnków 0 4.5% 8.9% 8.8% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.9% 5.6% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNoteć CzarnkówLipno Stęszew
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack42%58%
Defense58%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Noteć Czarnków Lipno Stęszew
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins0%40%18%33%40%36%
Draws33%40%36%33%0%18%
Loses67%20%45%33%60%45%

Form: Noteć Czarnków: DWLLDLLWLDD • Lipno Stęszew: LWDLWLLLDWW

League goals

Metric Noteć Czarnków Lipno Stęszew
HATHAT
GF total4599817
GF avg0.71.00.81.51.61.5
GA total1131491423
GA avg1.80.61.31.52.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNoteć CzarnkówLipno Stęszew
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%64%73%82%
1.527%36%55%82%
2.50%18%18%36%
3.50%9%9%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNoteć CzarnkówLipno Stęszew
HATHAT
Clean sheets044202
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricNoteć CzarnkówLipno Stęszew
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNoteć CzarnkówLipno Stęszew
Wins11
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-22-03-4
Biggest losses2-43-20-24-0
Goals For2224
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricNoteć CzarnkówLipno Stęszew
Form42%58%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : Noteć Czarnków or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ Marathonbet
Away4.89 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Unibet
No2.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Noteć Czarnków = 1.12 (league 1.74), Lipno Stęszew = 1.97 (league 1.46)

Lipno Stęszew
0 1 2 3 4 5
Noteć Czarnków 0 4.5% 8.9% 8.8% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.9% 5.6% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 55.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1