Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
Estádio das Seixas
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.44)
1.35 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | 27.5% | 66.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
28.5%
0 - 0
21.1%
0 - 2
19.2%
Score & goals probability table
| União Leiria U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estrela U23 | 0 | 21.1% | 28.5% | 19.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estrela U23 | União Leiria U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 70% | 90% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estrela U23 | União Leiria U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 57% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Estrela U23: LDWLLDL • União Leiria U23: DWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Estrela U23 | União Leiria U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estrela U23 | União Leiria U23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 86% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 57% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 43% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estrela U23 | União Leiria U23 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estrela U23 | União Leiria U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estrela U23 | União Leiria U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-4 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estrela U23 | União Leiria U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 36.2% | 63.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or União Leiria U23
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Estrela U23 = 0.21 (league 1.44), União Leiria U23 = 1.35 (league 1.26)
| União Leiria U23 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estrela U23 | 0 | 21.1% | 28.5% | 19.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.6% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 66.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1