Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.19) 0.52 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 23.2% 11.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
2 - 0
15.6%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Xerez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melilla 0 11.1% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.7% 9.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelillaXerez
Played44
Form33%33%
Attack57%43%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 13 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melilla Xerez
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws50%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%100%50%50%50%50%

Form: Melilla: WLDL • Xerez: LWDL

League goals

Metric Melilla Xerez
HATHAT
GF total404213
GF avg2.00.01.01.00.50.8
GA total224123
GA avg1.01.01.00.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelillaXerez
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%50%50%
1.550%25%25%25%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelillaXerez
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricMelillaXerez
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMelillaXerez
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-0
Biggest losses1-00-12-1
Goals For2021
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricMelillaXerez
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Melilla or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ Betfair
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melilla = 1.67 (league 1.19), Xerez = 0.52 (league 0.96)

Xerez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melilla 0 11.1% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.7% 9.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1