Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:30 • Stadio Silvio Piola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.34) 0.70 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 38.6% 31.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.1%
0 - 1
17.6%
1 - 0
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 25.1% 17.6% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.0% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNovaraTriestina
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack44%89%
Defense33%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Novara Triestina
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%0%0%50%33%43%
Draws67%75%71%50%0%29%
Loses33%25%29%0%67%29%

Form: Novara: DDDDLDL • Triestina: LDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Novara Triestina
HATHAT
GF total246729
GF avg0.71.00.91.80.71.3
GA total358347
GA avg1.01.31.10.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNovaraTriestina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%71%86%
1.514%14%43%14%
2.50%14%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNovaraTriestina
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricNovaraTriestina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNovaraTriestina
Wins02
Draws42
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-22-0
Goals For1232
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricNovaraTriestina
Form23%77%
Att33%67%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Triestina and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betano
No1.87 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Novara = 0.68 (league 1.34), Triestina = 0.70 (league 1.00)

Triestina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Novara 0 25.1% 17.6% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.0% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1