Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.40)
0.71 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.7% | 32.2% | 24.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
16.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Gelbison | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gelbison |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 75% | 88% |
| Defense | 25% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gelbison | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLL • Gelbison: WDLWD
League goals
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gelbison | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CastrumFavara | Gelbison | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gelbison | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gelbison |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gelbison |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gelbison |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: No predictions available
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 1.08 (league 1.40), Gelbison = 0.71 (league 1.05)
| Gelbison | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 24.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1