Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Markets Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.58) 0.82 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.6% 16.8% 11.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Longford Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Treaty United 0 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.6% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 7.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTreaty UnitedLongford Town
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack28%50%
Defense61%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Treaty United Longford Town
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins56%12%33%41%13%27%
Draws19%35%27%29%25%27%
Loses25%53%39%29%63%45%

Form: Treaty United: LWWDLDLWLDLWWLWWLWDDLDWDLDLLLWLWD • Longford Town: LDLWLWDLLLDLWDDLLDWWLDWLLLWLDDLWW

League goals

Metric Treaty United Longford Town
HATHAT
GF total281846241236
GF avg1.81.11.41.40.81.1
GA total202545223456
GA avg1.31.51.41.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTreaty UnitedLongford Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%76%70%82%
1.539%36%27%48%
2.518%12%12%21%
3.59%3%0%12%
4.56%3%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTreaty UnitedLongford Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets538336
Failed to score47115510

Penalties

MetricTreaty UnitedLongford Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricTreaty UnitedLongford Town
Wins22
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-53-10-2
Biggest losses0-73-00-35-0
Goals For5532
Goals Against7335

Model comparison

MetricTreaty UnitedLongford Town
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%37%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Treaty United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Superbet
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away3.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.01 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Treaty United = 2.39 (league 1.58), Longford Town = 0.82 (league 1.26)

Longford Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Treaty United 0 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.6% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.2% 7.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.6% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1