Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Regional Sports Centre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.37) 1.46 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 26.6% 50.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Drogheda United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waterford 0 9.6% 14.0% 10.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.8% 5.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaterfordDrogheda United
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack33%42%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waterford Drogheda United
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins33%29%31%44%25%34%
Draws13%12%13%38%50%44%
Loses53%59%56%19%25%22%

Form: Waterford: WLWWLLLLLLLWWWWLDDLWDLLWWLDLLLLL • Drogheda United: DWDWWLDWWDDLDWLDDWDDLWDLWWDLLDWD

League goals

Metric Waterford Drogheda United
HATHAT
GF total171936201535
GF avg1.11.11.11.30.91.1
GA total263056131831
GA avg1.71.81.80.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaterfordDrogheda United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%88%75%59%
1.538%59%25%31%
2.56%13%9%6%
3.53%6%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaterfordDrogheda United
HATHAT
Clean sheets2247613
Failed to score4711358

Penalties

MetricWaterfordDrogheda United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricWaterfordDrogheda United
Wins42
Draws22
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-47-21-23-0
Goals For2433
Goals Against4723

Model comparison

MetricWaterfordDrogheda United
Form0%100%
Att44%56%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total33.8%66.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Drogheda United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.88 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Waterford = 0.88 (league 1.37), Drogheda United = 1.46 (league 1.05)

Drogheda United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waterford 0 9.6% 14.0% 10.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.8% 5.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 50.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1