Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.29) 4.48 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 6.6% 59.7%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.9%
1 - 5
6.2%
1 - 3
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Utebo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 0.4% 1.6% 3.6% 5.3% 5.9% 5.3%
1 0.4% 1.9% 4.1% 6.2% 6.9% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfaroUtebo
Played44
Form17%83%
Attack55%100%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.511 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 24 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfaro Utebo
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins0%0%0%67%100%75%
Draws100%0%50%33%0%25%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Alfaro: DLDL • Utebo: DWWW

League goals

Metric Alfaro Utebo
HATHAT
GF total3368311
GF avg1.51.51.52.73.02.8
GA total358404
GA avg1.52.52.01.30.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfaroUtebo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%75%
1.550%50%100%25%
2.525%25%75%0%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfaroUtebo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAlfaroUtebo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlfaroUtebo
Wins00
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-3
Biggest losses4-3
Goals For2333
Goals Against2420

Model comparison

MetricAlfaroUtebo
Form17%83%
Att35%65%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h25%75%
Goals43%57%
Total30.6%69.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Utebo and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ 188Bet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfaro = 1.17 (league 1.29), Utebo = 4.48 (league 1.01)

Utebo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfaro 0 0.4% 1.6% 3.6% 5.3% 5.9% 5.3%
1 0.4% 1.9% 4.1% 6.2% 6.9% 6.2%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 3.6%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 59.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1