Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Umea Energi Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.60) 1.76 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.4% 22.4% 64.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 2
14.5%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Helsingborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Umeå FC 0 9.3% 16.4% 14.5% 8.5% 3.7% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.7% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUmeå FCHelsingborg
Played55
Form0%47%
Attack18%29%
Defense24%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Umeå FC Helsingborg
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins0%8%4%38%33%36%
Draws25%23%24%23%33%28%
Loses75%69%72%38%33%36%

Form: Umeå FC: LLDLLLLLLDDLLLDDLWLDLLLLL • Helsingborg: LLWWLLWDLDDDWWWLDWDLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Umeå FC Helsingborg
HATHAT
GF total81119181432
GF avg0.70.80.81.41.21.3
GA total213051141731
GA avg1.82.32.01.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUmeå FCHelsingborg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%96%60%60%
1.520%68%40%40%
2.54%28%16%12%
3.50%8%8%8%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUmeå FCHelsingborg
HATHAT
Clean sheets0116410
Failed to score75125510

Penalties

MetricUmeå FCHelsingborg
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricUmeå FCHelsingborg
Wins13
Draws23
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-25-10-2
Biggest losses1-35-11-54-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricUmeå FCHelsingborg
Form0%100%
Att38%63%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total28.3%72.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Helsingborg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ SBO
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Umeå FC = 0.61 (league 1.60), Helsingborg = 1.76 (league 1.23)

Helsingborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Umeå FC 0 9.3% 16.4% 14.5% 8.5% 3.7% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 1.7% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 64.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1