Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:15 •
Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.35)
1.57 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.9% | 24.8% | 61.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 2
14.7%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sanluqueño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcorcon | 0 | 11.9% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alcorcon | Sanluqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 56% | 100% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alcorcon | Sanluqueño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Alcorcon: LWWDD • Sanluqueño: DDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Alcorcon | Sanluqueño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alcorcon | Sanluqueño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alcorcon | Sanluqueño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alcorcon | Sanluqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alcorcon | Sanluqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alcorcon | Sanluqueño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Alcorcon or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alcorcon = 0.56 (league 1.35), Sanluqueño = 1.57 (league 0.95)
| Sanluqueño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcorcon | 0 | 11.9% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.9% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 61.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1