Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:45 • Estádio Varzim Sport Club
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.28) 1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 34.2% 46.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.5%
0 - 0
21.0%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 21.0% 21.5% 11.0% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 11.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVarzimGuimaraes B
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack100%75%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varzim Guimaraes B
HATHAT
Played325336
Wins33%50%40%0%33%17%
Draws67%0%40%33%67%50%
Loses0%50%20%67%0%33%

Form: Varzim: WWLDD • Guimaraes B: DLWDDL

League goals

Metric Varzim Guimaraes B
HATHAT
GF total718336
GF avg2.30.51.61.01.01.0
GA total314516
GA avg1.00.50.81.70.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVarzimGuimaraes B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%67%50%
1.540%20%33%33%
2.520%0%0%17%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVarzimGuimaraes B
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricVarzimGuimaraes B
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVarzimGuimaraes B
Wins21
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-10-2
Biggest losses1-02-3
Goals For4122
Goals Against2131

Model comparison

MetricVarzimGuimaraes B
Form62%38%
Att57%43%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h29%71%
Goals45%55%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : Varzim or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Pinnacle
Away3.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Varzim = 0.54 (league 1.28), Guimaraes B = 1.02 (league 0.98)

Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varzim 0 21.0% 21.5% 11.0% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 11.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 46.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1