Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio de San Mamés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.46) 0.85 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 23.0% 17.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Mallorca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 7.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 10.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic ClubMallorca
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack23%38%
Defense54%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club Mallorca
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%33%43%25%0%14%
Draws25%0%14%50%0%29%
Loses25%67%43%25%100%57%

Form: Athletic Club: WWWLLDL • Mallorca: LDLLDLW

League goals

Metric Athletic Club Mallorca
HATHAT
GF total527336
GF avg1.30.71.00.81.00.9
GA total4485611
GA avg1.01.31.11.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic ClubMallorca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%71%86%
1.529%29%14%43%
2.514%0%0%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic ClubMallorca
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricAthletic ClubMallorca
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAthletic ClubMallorca
Wins30
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-21-0
Biggest losses0-12-00-33-2
Goals For3212
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricAthletic ClubMallorca
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h64%36%
Goals75%25%
Total57.7%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Club or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Betano
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Pinnacle
No1.71 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club = 1.78 (league 1.46), Mallorca = 0.85 (league 1.17)

Mallorca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 7.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 10.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1