Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 21:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.17) 0.71 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 29.9% 21.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mercedes 0 14.3% 10.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack17%25%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mercedes Deportivo Paraguayo
HATHAT
Played121325141529
Wins33%31%32%29%13%21%
Draws25%15%20%43%13%28%
Loses42%54%48%29%73%52%

Form: Mercedes: WLLDLLWLDWWLLDWWLWLLWDLLD • Deportivo Paraguayo: LDLWLLLLLDDLLWWWWDLDDDLLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Mercedes Deportivo Paraguayo
HATHAT
GF total91120101020
GF avg0.80.80.80.70.70.7
GA total111728112738
GA avg0.91.31.10.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%64%55%66%
1.516%32%14%45%
2.54%16%0%21%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5497310
Failed to score55106713

Penalties

MetricMercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricMercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
Wins24
Draws13
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-33-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricMercedesDeportivo Paraguayo
Form56%44%
Att40%60%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total59.5%40.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mercedes or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mercedes = 1.23 (league 1.17), Deportivo Paraguayo = 0.71 (league 0.89)

Deportivo Paraguayo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mercedes 0 14.3% 10.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 12.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 21.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1