Tue, Sep 30 2025 • 19:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.72) 1.64 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.0% 24.4% 57.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 9.1% 15.0% 12.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.9% 11.3% 9.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.6% 4.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPafosBayern München
Played51
Form73%100%
Attack30%15%
Defense90%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pafos Bayern München
HATHAT
Played347101
Wins33%75%57%100%100%
Draws67%25%43%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Pafos: DWWWWDD • Bayern München: W

League goals

Metric Pafos Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total448303
GF avg1.31.01.13.00.03.0
GA total213101
GA avg0.70.30.41.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePafosBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%43%100%100%
1.529%0%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPafosBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricPafosBayern München
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPafosBayern München
Wins41
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-1
Biggest losses
Goals For2230
Goals Against1110

Model comparison

MetricPafosBayern München
Form79%21%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pafos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home26.00 @ Betfair
Draw10.20 @ 1xBet
Away1.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pafos = 0.75 (league 1.72), Bayern München = 1.64 (league 1.28)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 9.1% 15.0% 12.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.9% 11.3% 9.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.6% 4.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.0% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 57.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1