Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:30 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.57) 0.69 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 45.2% 39.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.9%
0 - 1
25.3%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hertha BSC
0 1 2 3 4 5
1. FC Nürnberg 0 36.9% 25.3% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.5% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1. FC NürnbergHertha BSC
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack67%50%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1. FC Nürnberg Hertha BSC
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%0%33%17%
Draws33%0%17%33%33%33%
Loses33%100%67%67%33%50%

Form: 1. FC Nürnberg: LLLDLW • Hertha BSC: LDDLWL

League goals

Metric 1. FC Nürnberg Hertha BSC
HATHAT
GF total224044
GF avg0.70.70.70.01.30.7
GA total257426
GA avg0.71.71.21.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1. FC NürnbergHertha BSC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%33%50%
1.517%33%17%50%
2.50%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1. FC NürnbergHertha BSC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score213314

Penalties

Metric1. FC NürnbergHertha BSC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

Metric1. FC NürnbergHertha BSC
Wins01
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3
Biggest losses0-12-10-22-1
Goals For2103
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

Metric1. FC NürnbergHertha BSC
Form44%56%
Att57%43%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hertha BSC and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 188Bet
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Betano
Under 2.52.23 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): 1. FC Nürnberg = 0.31 (league 1.57), Hertha BSC = 0.69 (league 1.33)

Hertha BSC
0 1 2 3 4 5
1. FC Nürnberg 0 36.9% 25.3% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.5% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 45.2% · Away win 39.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1