Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:15 • Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.60) 2.18 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 19.4% 62.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.3%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Kisvarda FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 4.3% 9.4% 10.3% 7.4% 4.1% 1.8%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMTK BudapestKisvarda FC
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack80%40%
Defense27%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MTK Budapest Kisvarda FC
HATHAT
Played527336
Wins40%50%43%33%67%50%
Draws20%0%14%0%33%17%
Loses40%50%43%67%0%33%

Form: MTK Budapest: DLWLLWW • Kisvarda FC: DLWWWL

League goals

Metric MTK Budapest Kisvarda FC
HATHAT
GF total11213347
GF avg2.21.01.91.01.31.2
GA total11213729
GA avg2.21.01.92.30.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMTK BudapestKisvarda FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%83%83%
1.557%29%33%17%
2.514%29%0%17%
3.514%14%0%17%
4.514%14%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMTK BudapestKisvarda FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricMTK BudapestKisvarda FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMTK BudapestKisvarda FC
Wins13
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-22-11-2
Biggest losses2-71-01-5
Goals For5222
Goals Against7151

Model comparison

MetricMTK BudapestKisvarda FC
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kisvarda FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away3.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MTK Budapest = 0.96 (league 1.60), Kisvarda FC = 2.18 (league 1.31)

Kisvarda FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
MTK Budapest 0 4.3% 9.4% 10.3% 7.4% 4.1% 1.8%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 62.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1