Primera A — Colombia
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.10) 0.69 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.4% 26.1% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
America de Cali 0 11.2% 7.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmerica de CaliEnvigado
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack22%11%
Defense89%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric America de Cali Envigado
HATHAT
Played191938171532
Wins58%26%42%12%33%22%
Draws32%37%34%47%7%28%
Loses11%37%24%41%60%50%

Form: America de Cali: WWDWDWLWDWWLDDLWWDWWDWDLWDDWLLLDLDLDWW • Envigado: DLLWLWLLDLWDLWWLLLLLLDWDDWLDLDLD

League goals

Metric America de Cali Envigado
HATHAT
GF total291645131225
GF avg1.50.81.20.80.80.8
GA total131629231740
GA avg0.70.80.81.41.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmerica de CaliEnvigado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%53%47%84%
1.534%16%19%22%
2.511%8%9%6%
3.55%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmerica de CaliEnvigado
HATHAT
Clean sheets10818325
Failed to score481271017

Penalties

MetricAmerica de CaliEnvigado
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total44

Streaks

MetricAmerica de CaliEnvigado
Wins22
Draws22
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-13-4
Biggest losses1-33-01-72-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against3373

Model comparison

MetricAmerica de CaliEnvigado
Form73%27%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h75%25%
Goals78%22%
Total71.5%28.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : America de Cali or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ 188Bet
Draw4.90 @ 10Bet
Away11.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ Unibet
No1.55 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): America de Cali = 1.50 (league 1.10), Envigado = 0.69 (league 0.82)

Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
America de Cali 0 11.2% 7.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.4% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1