Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:30 • Ticha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.18 (league 1.33) 0.23 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 1.2% 0.2%
best score tips
5 - 0
13.9%
4 - 0
13.4%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.4% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.4% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.9% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%71%
Defense57%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cherno More Varna Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%40%0%22%
Draws25%40%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%20%11%60%100%78%

Form: Cherno More Varna: DWWDWDLWW • Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Cherno More Varna Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
GF total9514729
GF avg2.31.01.61.40.51.0
GA total23591221
GA avg0.50.60.61.83.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%78%89%
1.544%0%22%78%
2.522%0%0%44%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricCherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Wins21
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-1
Biggest losses1-01-35-0
Goals For4321
Goals Against1135

Model comparison

MetricCherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Form63%38%
Att58%42%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total72.5%27.7%

Advice: Winner : Cherno More Varna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw5.10 @ Unibet
Away9.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Unibet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cherno More Varna = 5.18 (league 1.33), Septemvri Sofia = 0.23 (league 1.09)

Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cherno More Varna 0 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.4% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.4% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.9% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1