Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 00:30 • Allianz Parque
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.45) 0.91 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.6% 25.2% 21.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.1% 11.9% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalmeirasRiver Plate
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack100%90%
Defense90%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palmeiras River Plate
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%100%89%20%50%33%
Draws25%0%11%60%50%56%
Loses0%0%0%20%0%11%

Form: Palmeiras: WWWWWWWDW • River Plate: WDDWWDDDL

League goals

Metric Palmeiras River Plate
HATHAT
GF total914239615
GF avg2.32.82.61.81.51.7
GA total0556410
GA avg0.01.00.61.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalmeirasRiver Plate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%33%78%67%
1.578%22%33%44%
2.544%0%22%0%
3.522%0%11%0%
4.511%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalmeirasRiver Plate
HATHAT
Clean sheets426123
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricPalmeirasRiver Plate
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPalmeirasRiver Plate
Wins72
Draws13
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-46-22-3
Biggest losses1-2
Goals For6463
Goals Against0222

Model comparison

MetricPalmeirasRiver Plate
Form68%32%
Att61%39%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h67%33%
Goals63%38%
Total69.0%31.2%

Advice: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palmeiras = 1.58 (league 1.45), River Plate = 0.91 (league 0.99)

River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palmeiras 0 8.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.1% 11.9% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1