Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:00 •
Akademie Liefering Platz 1
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.57)
3.66 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5% | 8.2% | 70.9% |
best score tips
0 - 3
9.2%
0 - 4
8.4%
1 - 3
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sturm Graz W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Salzburg W | 0 | 1.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Salzburg W | Sturm Graz W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 70% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Salzburg W | Sturm Graz W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 100% | 60% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 100% | 0% | 40% |
Form: Salzburg W: WDWLL • Sturm Graz W: WLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Salzburg W | Sturm Graz W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Salzburg W | Sturm Graz W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Salzburg W | Sturm Graz W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Salzburg W | Sturm Graz W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Salzburg W | Sturm Graz W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Salzburg W | Sturm Graz W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 41.5% | 58.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sturm Graz W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Salzburg W = 0.83 (league 1.57), Sturm Graz W = 3.66 (league 1.52)
| Sturm Graz W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Salzburg W | 0 | 1.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.5% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 70.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1