Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.31)
0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.0% | 25.8% | 20.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 17% |
| Attack | 17% | 33% |
| Defense | 92% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 5 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Sora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Vigor Senigallia: WD • Sora: LD
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Sora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | Sora | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Sora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Sora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 64.7% | 35.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Vigor Senigallia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 1.53 (league 1.31), Sora = 0.84 (league 1.19)
| Sora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 20.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1