FA Trophy — England
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Butlin Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.72) 1.44 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 19.5% 22.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Belper Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rugby Town 0 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.4% 7.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRugby TownBelper Town
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack33%17%
Defense92%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 42 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rugby Town Belper Town
HATHAT
Played101101
Wins100%—100%100%—100%
Draws0%—0%0%—0%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Rugby Town: W • Belper Town: W

League goals

Metric Rugby Town Belper Town
HATHAT
GF total404202
GF avg4.00.04.02.00.02.0
GA total101101
GA avg1.00.01.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRugby TownBelper Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRugby TownBelper Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricRugby TownBelper Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRugby TownBelper Town
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For4020
Goals Against1010

Model comparison

MetricRugby TownBelper Town
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.4%46.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Rugby Town and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rugby Town = 2.33 (league 1.72), Belper Town = 1.44 (league 1.39)

Belper Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rugby Town 0 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.4% 7.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1