Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 15:00 • Khalifa International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.63 (league 1.65) 1.82 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 13.2% 14.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
5.7%
4 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Shamal 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
2 2.8% 5.2% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 3.4% 6.2% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 3.1% 5.7% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.3% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl ShamalAl-Gharafa
Played44
Form100%75%
Attack48%35%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.88 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Shamal Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
Played314314
Wins100%100%100%100%0%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%25%

Form: Al Shamal: WWWW • Al-Gharafa: WWLW

League goals

Metric Al Shamal Al-Gharafa
HATHAT
GF total9211808
GF avg3.02.02.82.70.02.0
GA total415325
GA avg1.31.01.31.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl ShamalAl-Gharafa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%75%
1.5100%50%75%50%
2.550%0%25%0%
3.525%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl ShamalAl-Gharafa
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricAl ShamalAl-Gharafa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAl ShamalAl-Gharafa
Wins42
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-24-2
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For4240
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricAl ShamalAl-Gharafa
Form57%43%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Al Shamal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away2.31 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ 188Bet
No2.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Shamal = 3.63 (league 1.65), Al-Gharafa = 1.82 (league 1.43)

Al-Gharafa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Shamal 0 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
2 2.8% 5.2% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 3.4% 6.2% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 3.1% 5.7% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.3% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1