Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:30 • Orlen Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.69) 0.36 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 34.2% 12.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.5%
0 - 0
24.0%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wisla Plock 0 24.0% 8.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWisla PlockJagiellonia
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack50%100%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wisla Plock Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played437426
Wins100%33%71%75%50%67%
Draws0%33%14%0%50%17%
Loses0%33%14%25%0%17%

Form: Wisla Plock: WWWDWWL • Jagiellonia: LWWWWD

League goals

Metric Wisla Plock Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total731010313
GF avg1.81.01.42.51.52.2
GA total1348210
GA avg0.31.00.62.01.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWisla PlockJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%83%83%
1.557%0%67%50%
2.50%0%33%17%
3.50%0%17%17%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWisla PlockJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets303101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricWisla PlockJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWisla PlockJagiellonia
Wins34
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-25-21-2
Biggest losses1-00-4
Goals For2252
Goals Against1141

Model comparison

MetricWisla PlockJagiellonia
Form43%57%
Att32%68%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total58.5%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Wisla Plock or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wisla Plock = 1.07 (league 1.69), Jagiellonia = 0.36 (league 1.24)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wisla Plock 0 24.0% 8.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 9.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 12.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1