Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:30 •
Metlaoui Municipal stadium
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.18)
0.19 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8% | 30.3% | 5.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.7%
0 - 0
24.3%
2 - 0
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Gabes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ES Metlaoui | 0 | 24.3% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.7% | 5.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Gabes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 30% | 20% |
| Defense | 60% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Gabes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 60% | 30% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
Form: ES Metlaoui: DWWLDLWLDW • AS Gabes: DDWLLLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Gabes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ES Metlaoui | AS Gabes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 30% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Gabes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Gabes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Gabes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Gabes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : ES Metlaoui or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ES Metlaoui = 1.22 (league 1.18), AS Gabes = 0.19 (league 0.84)
| AS Gabes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ES Metlaoui | 0 | 24.3% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.7% | 5.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 5.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
