1. Division — Norway
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Melløs Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.68) 2.09 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 19.7% 35.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
6.9%
1 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aalesund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moss 0 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 2.9% 6.1% 6.4% 4.5% 2.3% 1.0%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.5% 5.2% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMossAalesund
Played55
Form0%80%
Attack27%87%
Defense0%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moss Aalesund
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%0%26%64%31%48%
Draws8%29%19%29%31%30%
Loses38%71%56%7%38%22%

Form: Moss: LWLWLWLWLDWLLLWDDLDLWDLLLLL • Aalesund: DWDDWWDLDLWDDWDWWLWLLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Moss Aalesund
HATHAT
GF total271138312152
GF avg2.10.81.42.21.61.9
GA total263561112334
GA avg2.02.52.30.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMossAalesund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%89%85%63%
1.548%70%59%37%
2.519%37%22%19%
3.54%19%11%4%
4.50%7%7%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMossAalesund
HATHAT
Clean sheets2137310
Failed to score178134

Penalties

MetricMossAalesund
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricMossAalesund
Wins12
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2—6-00-6
Biggest losses1-56-02-35-1
Goals For4366
Goals Against5635

Model comparison

MetricMossAalesund
Form0%100%
Att24%76%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h33%67%
Goals25%75%
Total28.6%71.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aalesund and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.02 @ Pinnacle
Away1.77 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moss = 2.25 (league 1.68), Aalesund = 2.09 (league 1.53)

Aalesund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moss 0 1.3% 2.7% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 2.9% 6.1% 6.4% 4.5% 2.3% 1.0%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.5% 5.2% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1