Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Sixfields Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.44) 0.66 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 33.1% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 18.3% 12.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonLuton
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack56%44%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Luton
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%33%42%50%33%42%
Draws17%17%17%0%17%8%
Loses33%50%42%50%50%50%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLW • Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLL

League goals

Metric Northampton Luton
HATHAT
GF total64105914
GF avg1.00.70.80.81.51.2
GA total38116915
GA avg0.51.30.91.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonLuton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%50%75%58%
1.525%33%33%50%
2.50%8%8%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonLuton
HATHAT
Clean sheets426325
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonLuton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonLuton
Wins32
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-21-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-23-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonLuton
Form64%36%
Att56%44%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Northampton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.96 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.58 @ Marathonbet
Away2.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.04 (league 1.44), Luton = 0.66 (league 1.14)

Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 18.3% 12.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1