Not Started
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.48) 0.97 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.9% 14.3% 10.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 8.8% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.9% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuxtonAlfreton Town
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack53%21%
Defense68%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buxton Alfreton Town
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%33%0%17%
Draws0%33%17%17%50%33%
Loses33%33%33%50%50%50%

Form: Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWW • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDL

League goals

Metric Buxton Alfreton Town
HATHAT
GF total11920459
GF avg1.81.51.70.70.80.8
GA total991881422
GA avg1.51.51.51.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuxtonAlfreton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%58%83%
1.558%58%17%58%
2.58%8%0%25%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuxtonAlfreton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000325

Penalties

MetricBuxtonAlfreton Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBuxtonAlfreton Town
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-22-0
Biggest losses2-32-10-35-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricBuxtonAlfreton Town
Form72%28%
Att71%29%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Winner : Buxton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Superbet
Draw3.80 @ Fonbet
Away5.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Buxton = 2.80 (league 1.48), Alfreton Town = 0.97 (league 1.24)

Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.1% 8.8% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.9% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.9% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 10.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1