Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Municipal de El PlantĆ­o
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.72 (league 1.47) 0.73 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.3% 13.4% 7.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
10.7%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 3.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 8.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.3% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack47%53%
Defense60%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burgos Real Sociedad II
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins40%40%40%40%0%22%
Draws40%20%30%60%0%33%
Loses20%40%30%0%100%44%

Form: Burgos: WDLDWDWLLW • Real Sociedad II: WLDDLLDLW

League goals

Metric Burgos Real Sociedad II
HATHAT
GF total881610414
GF avg1.61.61.62.01.01.6
GA total471161016
GA avg0.81.41.11.22.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurgosReal Sociedad II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%89%78%
1.540%30%44%56%
2.530%0%22%22%
3.510%0%0%11%
4.510%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score213011

Penalties

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-0—
Biggest losses0-12-1—5-2
Goals For5332
Goals Against1235

Model comparison

MetricBurgosReal Sociedad II
Form64%36%
Att47%53%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total57.5%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Burgos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Dafabet
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away6.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Burgos = 2.72 (league 1.47), Real Sociedad II = 0.73 (league 1.10)

Real Sociedad II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burgos 0 3.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 8.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.7% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.3% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.3% Ā· Draw 13.4% Ā· Away win 7.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1