Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.19) 1.85 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 21.0% 35.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 1
7.8%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Racing Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro Largo 0 2.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.2% 7.8% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.3% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerro LargoRacing Montevideo
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack45%45%
Defense18%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerro Largo Racing Montevideo
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins40%43%42%14%40%25%
Draws20%29%25%43%20%33%
Loses40%29%33%43%40%42%

Form: Cerro Largo: WWWDLWWLLLDD • Racing Montevideo: WWLLLLDWDLDD

League goals

Metric Cerro Largo Racing Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total5813279
GF avg1.01.11.10.31.40.8
GA total661261218
GA avg1.20.91.00.92.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerro LargoRacing Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%42%67%
1.525%25%25%42%
2.50%8%8%25%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerro LargoRacing Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets224404
Failed to score112527

Penalties

MetricCerro LargoRacing Montevideo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCerro LargoRacing Montevideo
Wins32
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-02-3
Biggest losses1-32-11-44-0
Goals For2213
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricCerro LargoRacing Montevideo
Form25%75%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h15%85%
Goals14%86%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Racing Montevideo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away2.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerro Largo = 2.02 (league 1.19), Racing Montevideo = 1.85 (league 0.91)

Racing Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro Largo 0 2.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.2% 7.8% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.2% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.3% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 35.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1