Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 12:00 • Stadiumi Roza Haxhiu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.30) 1.32 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 26.2% 36.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Apolonia Fier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lushnja 0 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.5% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLushnjaApolonia Fier
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack50%50%
Defense42%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lushnja Apolonia Fier
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%0%14%33%25%29%
Draws67%75%71%33%50%43%
Loses0%25%14%33%25%29%

Form: Lushnja: DDDDDWL • Apolonia Fier: LDWWDDL

League goals

Metric Lushnja Apolonia Fier
HATHAT
GF total527448
GF avg1.70.51.01.31.01.1
GA total448347
GA avg1.31.01.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLushnjaApolonia Fier
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%86%71%
1.514%29%29%29%
2.514%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLushnjaApolonia Fier
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricLushnjaApolonia Fier
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLushnjaApolonia Fier
Wins12
Draws52
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—2-01-2
Biggest losses—2-01-22-1
Goals For3122
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricLushnjaApolonia Fier
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h62%38%
Goals45%55%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lushnja or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away3.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lushnja = 1.31 (league 1.30), Apolonia Fier = 1.32 (league 0.98)

Apolonia Fier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lushnja 0 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.5% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 36.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1