Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.78) 0.32 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.8% 21.8% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.6%
2 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 13.4% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.6% 7.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.0% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthBurnley U21
Played12
Form100%0%
Attack15%8%
Defense92%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 13 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Burnley U21
HATHAT
Played101022
Wins100%100%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%100%100%

Form: Tamworth: W • Burnley U21: LL

League goals

Metric Tamworth Burnley U21
HATHAT
GF total202011
GF avg2.00.02.00.00.50.5
GA total101033
GA avg1.00.01.00.01.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthBurnley U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%100%
1.5100%0%0%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthBurnley U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricTamworthBurnley U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTamworthBurnley U21
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2001
Goals Against1002

Model comparison

MetricTamworthBurnley U21
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total75.0%25.0%

Advice: Double chance : Tamworth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away4.90 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 1.69 (league 1.78), Burnley U21 = 0.32 (league 1.54)

Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 13.4% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.6% 7.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.0% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1