Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 19:00 • St. James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.76) 1.06 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.9% 34.9% 59.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
31.0%
0 - 0
29.4%
0 - 2
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 29.4% 31.0% 16.4% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3%
1 5.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleBenfica
Played25
Form50%47%
Attack31%31%
Defense88%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.55 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Benfica
HATHAT
Played112336
Wins0%100%50%67%33%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%17%
Loses100%0%50%33%33%33%

Form: Newcastle: LW • Benfica: WWDWLL

League goals

Metric Newcastle Benfica
HATHAT
GF total145527
GF avg1.04.02.51.70.71.2
GA total202314
GA avg2.00.01.01.00.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%67%33%
1.550%50%50%17%
2.550%0%0%17%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricNewcastleBenfica
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNewcastleBenfica
Wins02
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-42-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-31-0
Goals For1422
Goals Against2031

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleBenfica
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h0%100%
Goals40%60%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 1xBet
Draw4.24 @ 1xBet
Away5.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.15 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 0.17 (league 1.76), Benfica = 1.06 (league 1.33)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 29.4% 31.0% 16.4% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3%
1 5.0% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.9% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 59.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1