Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Fernando Robina
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.49)
0.51 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4% | 18.7% | 8.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.3%
1 - 0
16.3%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Moralo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Llerenense | 0 | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Llerenense | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 18% | 65% |
| Defense | 59% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Llerenense | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Loses | 33% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Llerenense: WLWLLL • Moralo: DDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Llerenense | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Llerenense | Moralo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Llerenense | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Llerenense | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Llerenense | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Llerenense | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 21% | 79% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Llerenense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Llerenense = 2.00 (league 1.49), Moralo = 0.51 (league 1.19)
| Moralo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Llerenense | 0 | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 8.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1